You're building what any considered to be the Berkshire Hathaway for tech. Mr. Buffett's in his office. Here's the number. Call him right now. He immediately picked up and he talked to me for an hour and a half. That whole idea of not wanting to meet your heroes, because they'll let you down. Buffett absolutely did not.
Welcome to the Investors Podcast. I'm your host, Trey Lockerbie. Like I said at the top, I am here with Andrew Wilkinson. Andrew, this has been a long time coming. I wanted to do this interview for a while. So really happy to have you on the show. Thanks for coming on.
欢迎来到《投资者播客》。我是您的主持人 Trey Lockerbie。就像我之前说的,我今天有幸邀请到了 Andrew Wilkinson。Andrew,这次采访确实等了很久了。非常高兴能够请你来到节目中。谢谢你的光临。
Thanks, Trey. It's great to be here. I've actually been listening for years, so it's really cool to be on.
谢谢,特雷。能够来到这里真是太好了。实际上我已经听了好几年了,所以能上节目真是太酷了。
Well, it's funny because there's a small community, the podcast community. So I've seen a lot of friends interview you and vice versa. I know you've listed a few of your own podcasts through Tiny. It's just a small community. I felt like hopefully one day our pass with Cross. So I'm glad it's happening today.
I wanted to kick things off with a little bit of your view of the markets only because there's a lot of noise happening all around us. Banks are starting to fail here in the US, over in Europe, etc. This environment where funding has become scarce, valuations are declining, interest rates are going up. I was just thinking to myself, I imagine someone like you might be one of the few who are currently on offense, right? Because these kind of scenarios might create opportunities where businesses that you've been looking at for a while become attractive all of a sudden, either affordable or potentially illiquid and needing help. So as an acquirer, is this something that you are kind of viewing as a, as not a positive, let's say, but opportunistic in some degree for it this year?
Yeah, I mean, we really have long periods of inaction. So in many ways, for the last two or three years, with a few exceptions, we've mostly been sitting on our hands. And the beauty of my business is that at the end of the day, I don't have a ticker for every individual business. I own about 30 plus companies. I don't know what each of them is valued other than whatever Chris and I kind of do math in our head. And so we don't get caught up in the macro. We mostly just focus on the micro. And at the end of the day, we examine every individual business. And each business has some kind of competitive advantage or something that we like about it. And so we're quite happy just to hold the business. We can't panic sell and freak out as someone would traditionally with a stock portfolio or something like that. And I think that's been wonderful for us. I always, whenever I talk to friends about this, I always say, okay, what's your biggest investment? And invariably, they'll say, unless they're a professional investor, that it's their house. And I say, okay, well, your house goes up in value. And it goes down in value, depending on what's going on in the market. But you don't see it every day, you never panic sell your house. You're not counting your eggs before they hatch. You might have a rough sense that it's gone up or down, but it's not down to the penny. And so I think that's one of the nice things about owning a lot of different businesses is you don't have tickers like that. So yeah, we're just kind of sitting and waiting and getting excited to start buying businesses again, which we really haven't done much of for the last couple of years.
I love that house analogy so much. It reminds me of my wife who was learning how to invest, but almost resorts to just saying, hey, should I buy this stock? It's sort of like me saying, you know, should I buy this house? And you go, okay, what neighborhood is it in? What state, what are the comps? There's so much more information that needs to be known. But it's just kind of minding of that.
So for those who don't know, you're building what any of considered to be the Berkshire Hathaway for tech. And that may or may not be evolving to different sectors. But I know that's kind of how it originated. Using this analogy, what is your source of float? Is it simply the cash flows from the underlying portfolio companies? Because I imagine, you know, a lot of companies who are relying on funding as we kind of alluded to earlier are running into to trouble, whereas your companies hopefully are casually positive and positioning you guys well to potentially pursue more acquisitions.
Yeah, I mean, with a few exceptions, almost every business that we have ever acquired or operated has been profitable. And we started out that way, not because we set out to be bootstrappers, but because we knew no other way. So when I started my business, I was up in Canada. I didn't know what a venture capitalist was. I couldn't have got a bank loan if I tried. And so at the end of the day, I had to bring in more revenue than my expenses.
And in the early days, I barely understood accounting. But what I did understand was that if my bank account balance was larger on day 30 than on the first of the month, things were going well. And so that was where we started almost 20 years ago. And we followed that thread. And what ended up happening was, we built quite a few bootstrapped, highly profitable businesses. But we always thought our businesses were terrible. Every business internally is a dumpster fire knife fight where you're just trying to stay alive.
And over time, as we got to know more and more business owners, we realized that many of them actually were just not operating with best practices. They weren't operating with the same discipline that we had learned out of necessity. And so as we started seeing those businesses, we realized a lot of those founders were exhausted or they wanted to sell their business. And so we would buy them and really just implement those best practices, hire a CEO and have the baton pass to us.
I want to touch on that bootstrapping history of yours because I'm curious if there are downsides to that. I saw a tweet from our friend Alex over at Morning Brew the other day. And he said, Scrapiness is a gift and a curse. So it's a gift because you learn every skill before you delegate it. It forces you to default to an action mindset. You can stretch every dollar. But it's a curse because it creates a scarcity mindset, which is not often helpful. You risk taking on low leverage tasks and you feel every part of the emotional roller coaster. I don't know if that last part goes away at any point, but the risk of taking low leverage tasks is something I really resonated with when I saw that. It's hard to be strategic sometimes when you're so reactive on the bootstrapping path.
So I'm curious, how did you grow out of that? How did you learn to get beyond maybe the limitations of bootstrapping? A lot of really disastrous hiring and a lot of really sleepless nights and a lot of misery, to be honest.
The way I think about this is like if you own a bakery and let's say that you're the number one place in Los Angeles selling croissants and there's a line down the block and you have one oven and you need to go and spend $200,000 to buy another oven in order to actually be able to service your customer. But your capital constrained. Of course, it's logical in that world to go to the bank or to go to an investor to buy another oven because you have access demand and you need to keep your customer happy and you can maximize the business that way. I think everybody understands that.
But I see a lot of tech entrepreneurs who have that same situation. They have the line down the block and they just won't deploy the capital required to serve the customer or to maximize the business, usually out of fear. People get into this mindset and I used to have this mindset of I need to own 100% of the pie. It's not worth giving up 5% because I can't have anyone else in the business or that creates a risk or something like that. But I think it's very logical to have a slightly smaller slice of pie in order to have a larger pie in the long run.
And so what I ended up realizing over time was that I was limiting my businesses by not investing in R&D, not buying capital assets, that kind of thing. And we kind of came to this realization over time. It's a lot easier when you're at scale. So for example, when you own five businesses and you have one that has a big opportunity where there's a lever you can pull to five exit, it's a lot easier to do that when it's one of five eggs. But when it's your only egg, it is terrifying.
And I was sitting in a board meeting with a SaaS software business that I'm a large investor in a couple years ago. And I remember talking to the founder and he said, we're doing really well with pay-per-click on Google. And I looked at the P&L and they were spending $10,000 a month. And they were getting a $20,000 payback within a month or two. And I said, well, why are you only spending $10,000 a month? And he said, well, because that's what we budgeted to it. That was their kind of conservative thing. And I was like, hey, look, there's $100 bills lying on the ground. You need to pick up as many as possible. But for some reason, that servitism, that bootstrapper mentality held them back from doing that.
And so we see a lot of that. And I really empathize with it because I've been there, I think bootstrapping is a bit of a blessing and a curse. But I've been surprised by how big some of our bootstrap businesses have been able to become with very minimal reinvestment.
Another company that's been a huge success for you is WeCommerce. And there is a merger underway where tiny and WeCommerce will now both be public and Howard Marks and Bill Ackman and some other folks are somehow in the mix here. And I like to kind of talk through why the move to merge and go public and how you got investors like the Titans of industry behind you on this move.
Yeah, well, the story actually goes back to about 2010. So at the time I was running Metalab, my original agency, I was experimenting, incubating a few SaaS software businesses and other stuff. And I was at a conference and I met Harley Finkelstein, who is the now COO of Shopify. And at the time, Shopify was just this tiny little Canadian software company, you know, doing e-commerce. And he said, hey, we need someone to build themes. They wanted an easy way for merchants to sign up and then select a theme. So for example, let's say you're in electronics, manufacturer, and you want to sell online, you'll want a different template than somebody who's selling a skin cream. And so we would create a variety of templates and we would sell them in the Shopify marketplace. So we were their first partner in their theme marketplace.
And that ended up turning into a wonderful business. You know, we would build a theme in a matter of months and we could sell it for years. It's a digital good, very high margin. And our only cost is really maintenance and updating it, doing bug fixes and then doing support. So that business took off. And in 2014, I received an offer to sell that business. And at the time, I was not an investor. I didn't really understand finance in a major way. And so I ended up selling what was really an exceptional business with a huge tailwind. You know, this was the kind of dominant theme seller on the Shopify platform and Shopify was growing at a wild clip and it just gone public. But I ended up selling the business.
And for the first time, I had this large sum of money. I had millions of dollars in my bank account. And I decided I needed to read a book, you know, about investing, I needed to finally figure that out. And the first book that I picked up was The Warren Buffett Way. And as soon as I read that book, I realized, Oh my God, you know, I've made a mistake. I shouldn't have sold this wonderful business. But I still own 20% of it. I stayed on the board. And I used the knowledge that I learned from Buffett to start tiny. And I continued to follow along with that business as it grew.
And the folks that we had sold it to, they were a family office and they decided that they wanted to sell. And so I said, okay, well, can I buy it? And so we ended up buying back the business. And I had met Bill and Howard in passing over the prior years. And at one point, Bill kind of pulled me aside and said, Hey, if you ever want to do a deal, I would love to partner with you. And having been a bootstrapper and having never raised money, I figured, Hey, this is an interesting experiment to a great way to work with someone that I really respect and try raising capital. And so we did that with Bill and Howard and a handful of other investors. And we ended up buying more businesses within that platform. And then we took it public in 2021. And that business is still a public company.
And over the last year, Chris and I, meanwhile, had built this very significant portfolio of other businesses. And we decided that we wanted to take that public. And so we thought, Hey, what better way to do so than to merge into we commerce and have a single stock where we can allocate capital across all the different entities in one place. And so we just announced that merger about a month ago. Congratulations on that. It's very exciting.
The Buffett book is interesting for obvious reasons. He's one of my big references. And I know that we both study him. And there's a a lot about tiny that resembles Berkshire. But some something that stood out to me that may or may not resemble Berkshire in a way is that tiny seems to be almost agnostic to existing management when they're looking at acquiring, you're looking at acquiring a company. And you seem pretty confident in the idea of placing a proper leader at the helm. If you need to. And I'm curious how many or have you found many founders that can make the transition from leading what I call pirates to sailors, right? Or do you find that it's often best to find a more seasoned person to put in place to run a much larger operation? And maybe best not to leave it to the founders. What's it?
There's really no rules. There's only experience. And I think for myself, I realized pretty quickly that I was a great zero to one person. I loved starting things. But and I really loved operating at large scale. But I didn't like the in between.
And for me, personally, I actually didn't like managing large groups of people. I love managing a 20 person company. But I don't really enjoy managing 100 or 1000 person company. And so it's much better for me to hire CEOs who enjoyed that phase of growth and operations.
I often think about a business like just using example, Chipotle. So if you think about, there was somebody invented the burrito, right? That was one person. Another person came up with the concept of a fast casual burrito joint. That was the founder of Chipotle. Somebody else scale or he scaled it to five locations or something like that. And then he likely brought on a president or CEO who had experience in fast food who took it to 100 locations, and then perhaps handed the baton to somebody else who took it to 1000 locations.
And I think each of those baton passes, each of those different CEOs or leaders is a different skill set. Now, are there exceptions to the rule like Bill Gates or Mark Zuckerberg? Absolutely. But I think there are few and far between. And if you look at someone like Mark Zuckerberg, he still hired Cheryl, Cheryl Sandberg, who is an experienced executive who had scaled a very similar business at Google and had basically already done it.
And so, effectively, what we tell founders is that if they want to stay on, they're absolutely welcome to and we'll leave them alone and they can keep operating the business as long as they like with minimal interference. Some of those founders want us to help. They'll say, hey, I really need a COO, a CFO, new team members, and we'll help them with that. But a lot of the time, they'll just say, hey, I just want to keep running my business. And I went with you guys because you're easy to deal with and you leave me alone.
Then there's other founders who just want to sail off from the sunset. They want the easiest deal ever. 30-day cash in the bank on day 31 payment, sign the documents and you're done with a little transition period. And we do both. So, we have really great experiences with some founders who have stayed on, grown their business significantly, and then we've also brought in CEOs around the business.
And typically, the way we think about that is just we want to find somebody who's done it before. So, like I said with the burrito example, if I have a 50-location, fast, casual business, I want to find someone who's grown a similar business from 50 locations to 200 locations in a business with similar values. And so, we basically find people like that, we plug them in and we leave them to it.
That quick deal, a 30-day deal is super interesting to me because one thing I've really admired about Buffett over the years are these how he simplifies almost everything. And there's a certain beauty to that. And I know that he's done a few deals just over a handshake. And you seem to follow the same sort of philosophy in songwriting or I guess in writing general, there's this idea, first idea, best idea sometimes. And it reminds me of that because it's sort of like, let's not over-complicate this or rethink it. Your gut feel probably has to be pretty spot-on. So, I'm curious how you really ultimately decided to do that and how hard it might actually be to do that because while it all sounds very simple, that's a lot of work, probably in a very short period of time, a lot of hard big decisions to make pretty quickly. Maybe walk us through what a 30-day deal really looks like.
So, I'd say there's no set timeline. At the end of the day, the founder is the one who sets that. So, if somebody comes to us and they say, look, I've got an incredible deal. Here's everything you need to know. I want to transact in two weeks. My lawyer's already drafted the purchase and sale. Here you go. We could totally get that done if we loved the business and we loved the person. And then at the same time, often the founder has advisors. They have a lawyer. The lawyer really wants to dial everything in. Sometimes that takes three to six months. So, there's really no rhyme or reason. Sometimes they take a long time. Sometimes they go really quick. And we don't pressure people to close in 30 days. It's more an indication that if they're comfortable and they want to move quick, we can do that.
From my perspective, you can't do a good deal with a bad person. And if you need a contract and you have to rely on a contract, that's not a good sign. So, we do have a general counsel and obviously we draft all the requisite contracts and that kind of stuff. But at the end of the day, if somebody is going to defraud you or something like that, that's going to happen regardless of a contract. And a contract, it gives you legal protections, but you have to go to court. It's a five-year process.
So, to be honest, while we do all that stuff, I'm really trying to examine the quality of the person and do a lot of qualitative analysis of this person. Are they authentic? Are they nervous? Do we have friends in common? What's their pattern of behavior in the past? Do we trust them? Would we let them babysit our kids? There's a lot of these kind of qualitative checklists that we go through. And yeah, that's how we're assessing people in terms of these deals.
In my recent conversation with Christoph Goliath, he highlighted a study that showed that people are incentivized by remuneration but more motivated by equitable remuneration. So, in other words, people essentially weigh being paid fairly more than the actual wage itself. From your experiences, have you learned anything about, what have you learned about incentivizing and motivating so that you can increase delegation going back to this Berkshire model?
So, I used to, in the early days of my agency business, I had this feeling like, why am I the only one that cares? Or why am I the only one that's excited? And I think that people obviously work for the work. There's people that are intrinsically motivated that love what they do. But at the end of the day, if you're winning, I think everybody needs to win together. And so, we found that as soon as we actually figured out incentives and we started bonusing people in line with the numbers that we cared about. So, for example, free cash flow or net profit or e-bittar, whatever makes sense in that particular situation, that alignment of incentives, as long as the employee or CEO understood how they won, had some control over those numbers, and understood the numbers, we found that people all pull together and achieve whatever needs to get done to hit those numbers. And so, that's worked really, really well for us.
And we try and ensure that we don't have kind of lottery ticket incentives. So, if the quarter doesn't get hit perfectly, they're still getting paid, right? We don't want somebody to be dejected and punished by rewards. Can you say more about that? I'm curious about the lottery system there.
Well, so, for example, let's say that you, let's say your stock price is $20 and you issue and employ $100,000 of stock options. And then the business, let's say the stock price drops to $15. Suddenly, that employee went from being in the money on their options to their options being worth absolutely zero. It's completely binary. Whereas an owner, they would have gotten, they would have the equity at $20. Their equity would become worth a little bit less as it dropped $15, but they would still care. They'd still have something to lose. And so, we try and, as much as possible, avoid those kind of lottery ticket incentives.
Very interesting. So, Buffett in delegation seemed to go hand in hand. He, apparently, we were talking about before how we're kind of still curious and scratching our head how he lives this very stress-free life and has nothing on his calendar apparently doesn't do email. So, from what I've learned about you, from some of the other interviews you've done is that the ladder is a bit of a struggle or still a struggle. And I think for most of us, it is. So, it's not just you. I relate what has worked and what hasn't worked for simplifying your life and trying to de-stress it as you continue to delegate.
Well, ultimately, the number one thing that's worked for me has been taking every single piece of responsibility for a subsidiary business and ensuring there's somebody who's responsible for it. At the end of the day, there's no way I could keep all the businesses in my head. And so, I have to rely on a wonderful group of CEOs to operate those businesses. And so, that covers off most of the day-to-day fires.
When I was running my agency, I would get a phone call every day saying, oh, this client won't pay us and this employee is quitting. And each of those required an actual next action, I had to immediately that day respond to the client and get on a phone call or whatever.
My problems now are much more high level. Like, it's kind of like a, are we going to buy this business or not? And I've got 30 days to decide. Are we going to restructure our debt into X or Y facility? And there's a lot of time for analysis. So, it's much slower.
That said, I still, as you mentioned, struggle to not have a full calendar and email. And to be honest, I don't know how Buffett does it. I think that he, I mean, it's, I think it's real. So, I once got an introduction to Buffett via email and I got a response from his assistant the next morning, and I just said, Mr. Buffett's in his office. Here's the number, call him right now. And he immediately picked up and he talked to me for an hour and a half. And I don't understand how that happened or why he decided to make time for some random kid in Canada. But he seems to be pulling it off. And I don't know what the secret to that is. Maybe it's not doing email.
From my perspective, you know, I've tried a lot of different stuff. I have an assistant who reviews all my email and flags the most critical ones. So, if I don't want to look at email, I can just look at the three or four that are kind of burning or time sensitive. But I struggle with this like anybody else. And I, you know, I always joke, I'm tough on for tasks. If there's anything that comes to me, I'm allergic to it. I want to delegate it. But I still somehow managed to have a lot of stuff to do.
Can you tell us more about that call? I mean, you had a little bit of time maybe to prep, but you knew you had to call right now it sounded like. So, there wasn't a lot of time to think what was going through your mind and what questions maybe were you able to ask Buffett that you were maybe hoping to and were you surprised by anything he said in response?
I mean, I think, you know, there's that whole idea of not wanting to meet your heroes, because they'll let you down. And Buffett absolutely did not. I've met both Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett now. And, you know, he was just so high. I was struck by how high his EQ was, you know, he really listened, he mirrored back. You know, he clearly was listening to what I was saying. He asked a lot of really great questions.
And I got the sense he was, you know, you talked to a lot of old people and they're not, you know, they're not aware of you. They're not really kind of digging into what you want to talk about. It's just, you know, them talking about whatever they want to talk about. And I felt that he, yeah, really took the time to see me and understand me and ask really good questions. And I got to ask him a lot of questions primarily around raising children and money and philanthropy that was fascinating.
But the interesting thing about Buffett is that he's very public with his opinions. And if you've listened to all of his public interviews, and you've read all of his letters, you pretty much know what he's going to say on any topic. Munger, I find, so if Buffett is like, you know, classic rock, you kind of know how it's going to go are 12 bar blues. Munger is like jazz, you know, he'll just spout off about any topic. You never know what he's going to say. I mean, if you've seen the Daily Journal, Annual General Meeting, you'll know this, right? You never know what he's going to say next. And it's fascinating. But I really enjoyed talking to both of them.
One of Buffett's quotes about raising kids that I've come across is that he wants to leave them enough to do something, but not enough to do nothing. I'm kind of curious, well, you're now wealthy individual raising parents and what have you, what philosophies have you grabbed on to either from Buffett or others that have helped direct you with raising your own kids? I think it's really, really challenging. And to be honest, I haven't really come to a conclusion.
At this point, my kids are five and three. And I, you know, imagine if you're, you come from a long line of farmers and you are the generation that, you know, created a large industrial farm that can feed an entire town. Is it logical for you as a someone in a farming family to then go teach your kids how to grow root vegetables? Or is it better to say, hey, you know, here's how you can run this large business? Or here, help me give away the money to everyone in the town or, you know, hey, go play violin and study philosophy. Or, you know, should I say, hey, all this is mine. You go start your own farm from scratch. And I think every single one of those has a pitfall. And I don't really know what I'm going to do yet. I'm still trying to figure that out. But I'm trying to explain it to my kids.
I think that one of the mistakes that I've heard is not talking about the wealth, not exposing them to it, not helping them understand it. So I'm, you know, as best I can with a five year old, I'm trying to explain all the different businesses I own and how we make money. And whenever we go to a cafe and we buy something, I try and explain that, you know, that came out of my bank account and we walk through how I made the money. But yeah, it's a really hard decision. And it has pretty serious consequences. Relating because I have a five year old, two boys as well. So it's very topical for me.
And one thing I'm really curious about is how you're thinking about teaching them investing, because you mentioned earlier, you kind of had a windfall at one point and you said, okay, what do I do with this? You went and bought a Buffett book and you kind of started, I guess, maybe later, it would seem it or didn't come as natural. And at least for me, that's how it was. I didn't learn about what the S&P 500 was till my mid 20s. So I was way behind the curve. And I'm curious about maybe how you're thinking about starting someone out earlier than maybe you did.
Well, I think that everything I've ever become passionate about, I was just slapped in the face by, or there was a really important reason why I wanted it. So when it came to investing or starting businesses, I grew up in a family where we didn't have a lot of money. We weren't super poor, but money was always a really tense topic in our house. My parents were in a lot of debt. My dad's business was failing. And so I just didn't want everyone to be stressed out. And so I always told myself that I was going to make a lot of money so that I wouldn't have to deal with that anxiety. So that's what fueled me starting businesses and getting into investing really out of fear.
In the same vein, I never wanted to play a musical instrument. My mom would try and set me up with piano lessons or singing or any of that stuff. And I just didn't see why I should care. And then one day in grade 11, I had a crush on a girl. And she really liked this guy who played guitar. And so I was like, oh my God, I need to learn guitar. So I taught myself guitar really, really quick to try and impress this girl. Of course, it didn't work, but I had an incentive to do so.
And with my kids, I really don't want to pressure them into getting into investing. I'd rather that maybe I talked about it passively, or they just noticed that I have all those books. And one day they crack one, or I take them to a Berkshire AGM or something and see if it resonates with them. But I really don't want to push it on them. And I think that at the end of the day, they need to find their own passions and get obsessed with something. And that's going to have to happen naturally.
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That monger quote right show me an incentive. I'll show you a result comes to mind. There's another monger quote that comes to mind too, which is all I want to attribute a demonger off. And I'm not sure if it's something he picked up. But it's all I want to do is know where I'm going to die so that I never go there. And with this in mind, everyone's familiar with this idea of goal setting. And that seems to be a big part of what it takes to become successful. But I know that you and your partner have developed a practice that you call anti goals. So can you talk to us about what an anti goal is and how you go about doing something like that?
Yes, we read that monger quote and it really resonated. And a couple years ago, Chris and I were feeling really unhappy. You know, on paper, we were very successful financially. We had wonderful businesses. We had a lot of freedom on paper, but our actual day to day lives were really stressful. And so we started kind of looking around and saying, you know, what actually makes us miserable. It's really hard to think about what's going to make you happy. You know, you might go, oh, when I have a Ferrari and a mansion and a private jet, I'll be happy. But in reality, it's hard to predict. But you know, for sure that you don't like being, you know, really, really tired, overbooked on your calendar, you know, back to back meetings and phone calls, a lot of business travel, etc. And so we made this list of anti goals of things we didn't want to do. And then we kind of reverse engineered it from there. And that was very instructive for us in terms of hiring. So who could we hire? For example, let's say that Chris was spending a lot of time with our banking relationships. Who could we hire to go and do that for us? And then, you know, finding someone who loves doing the banking relationships will do a better job than Chris. And in doing so, we'll free us up to not have to do the things that we hate. So we found that very instructive actually wrote a medium post. If you search the power of anti goals on Google, it should come up as the first result.
是的,我们阅读了那个行销名言,并且深感共鸣。几年前,克里斯和我感到非常不开心。你知道,在表面上,我们在财务上非常成功。我们拥有美好的事业。在纸面上,我们有很多自由,但我们的日常生活非常有压力。因此,我们开始四处寻找,问自己,到底是什么让我们痛苦。想要知道什么会让你开心其实很难。你可能会说,哦,当我有一辆法拉利、一幢豪宅和一架私人飞机时,我会很开心。但实际上,很难预测。但你当然知道,你不喜欢自己非常累、日程安排过满,会议和电话连绵不断,商务旅行等等。所以我们列了个反目标的清单,列出了我们不想做的事情。然后我们反推思考。这对我们的招聘非常有指导意义。比如说,如果克里斯花了很多时间处理我们的银行关系,我们可以雇一个人替我们去处理。找一个喜欢处理银行关系的人,他会比克里斯做得更好。这样,我们就不用做我们讨厌的事情了。我们发现这非常有启发,甚至写了一篇关于此的文章在 Medium 上。如果你在谷歌上搜索“反目标的力量”,它应该会作为第一个结果出现。
You mentioned your family and debt. And you mentioned earlier with restructuring debt when we're coming to deals. I'm interested about your history with bootstrapping and your relationship to debt as you became an acquirer and an investor. So as Carl Icahn is known to say, your valuation, my terms, and a lot of people think of acquisition simply as just the price. But there's a lot more to it than that. And the structure of a deal is almost just as important. So a lot of nuance can go into a deal. But I'm more curious about where you started, how you refine your approach and what resources you use to kind of educate yourself on how to create deal structures.
Well, we were really country bumpkins. We had no clue whatsoever. Chris and I were really good operators. We knew how to read a financial statement, but we didn't know anything about deal terms or structures or cap tables or anything else. And so in the early days, the way I kind of think about it, or thought about in the early days, and I still kind of think about it is, if I buy this business, how do I pay myself back in five years? So that can be, I pay five times earnings, right? And the business just stays flat, pay myself back in five years. Let's say that I pay 10 times earnings. Let's say it's a business that's growing a little faster. I've got to double the earnings. Well, how hard is that going to be? What levers can be pulled? So for example, when we bought dribble, which is our social network for designers, we looked at the business and we said, okay, we're going to pay, I think we paid about 10 times earnings for the business. And we identified two or three kind of low hanging fruit opportunities within the business, where we were confident that in the first two years, we could pull those levers and that we could double the earnings. And so that's kind of how we think about it to this day. So even if I'm paying 20x, I'm still thinking about, can I grow the earnings appropriately to get to the point where I can pay myself back in five years if I was cash flowing the business?
I noticed that there's, I think you're under what, 30 fully owned companies now, and there's something like 90 that you're a minority investor in. What is there? Is there often a path where the minorities are something that ultimately become majority or the minorities more bigger pies already that you're just wanting to write along with?
Well, it's interesting. So being an entrepreneur, I have a lot of entrepreneur friends, and they often start companies. And so as they've started companies, they'll come to me and say, hey, I'm raising money for my company, and we'll throw in 50 or 100 grand. And I kind of look at it as roulette chips. It's not our primary business. It's fun. We get to engage with great entrepreneurs, and we put down a whole bunch of chips. And now and then we win, I think we're up, at least on paper, we're up a reasonable amount, and it's fine. And it gives us some market intelligence. We get to see kind of what's happening in the startup world. And occasionally, we will buy a majority stake or buy one of the startups. That's quite rare. It says probably one in, one in 50 that we'll do follow on or buy majority in. Our core business is buying majority stakes in cash flowing businesses. And I think that's like playing poker. You actually have an advantage and skill matters. So that's the primary focus. And I think it's like 97% of our capital or something. I'm making that number up, but it's something very significant that's in the majority deals. And the venture stuff is very small percentage of what we do.
I was kind of asking because I know Buffett does this and Tom Gaynor introduced me to it as well. But they'll sometimes own tiny little pieces of hundreds of companies. And it's sort of to just get their appetite wet. They put a little bit of money into it. They're all of a sudden, that much more interested in it. I was kind of curious. It's almost like a screener. You're building a screener with a little bit of money on the table.
Exactly. And with that in mind and your relationship with Munger, he obviously is the right handman of Warren Buffett. But he's made his own choices along the way and his own investments. Have you picked up anything from being around him that has sort of informed you on where his mind takes him or why he's opposed to certain deals or in uncertain deals? He loves Costco. He loves Alibaba. He loves certain companies that Buffett, for whatever reason, isn't invested in. I'm kind of curious if you've seen something that differentiates them that may or may not be obvious to the public.
No, I have no unique insights into Munger's portfolio or anything like that. But I will just say, what I've taken from Munger has mostly, despite knowing him, it's mostly been from a distance. He's reading all the quotes that you've shared and reading endless books on him. He's someone you can learn from a distance very effectively. And the thing I love about Munger is just his level of patience is staggering. He'll buy one. I think he had a great quote. He said, I read Barron's magazine for 40 years and I bought one stock from it. And on that one stock, I made 100x. He just sits on his hands year after year after year. And he does not do anything that he does not want to do. So he does not interact with shareholders. He runs Daily Journal exactly the way that he wants to run it. He's a total character. He lives a life that is truly tailored for himself and his own interests.
I know you recently started your own local newspaper. Have you taken any tips from the Daily Journal or any insights or how to structure things with those new businesses?
No, not really. I think that I'm fascinated by the news businesses of old. And I think that at the end of the day, news is still important, especially local news. And it's been decimated over the last five or 10 years. And so my goal in getting into that originally was kind of almost philanthropic. I did it as a for-profit business because I wanted the numbers to work out. But I was quite surprised by how much interest we had. So we started a publication here in Victoria where I live. And we very quickly got up to 50,000 subscribers. And it was just a daily email that summarized what was going on in Victoria. We started doing original reporting and investigative journalism. And it really took off. And so now we've expanded that across Canada. We have about 14 different publications. And really what we're betting on is that there's still a demand for local news. There's still a willingness to advertise. It's a very unique way to advertise locally that no longer exists on Instagram and Facebook. But more than that, we try and find ways to connect people in the community. So hopefully you're seeing people you recognize, you're seeing what local businesses are happening and trying to create more connection. Because I think that's really been lost over the last couple of years.
From what I understand, you were moved to Victoria. You've mentioned it a couple of times. And I know you have this really deep love. It seems for Victoria from what I can tell. But at first, it seemed like you were kind of kicking and screaming being brought over there. But you've stayed there, which is just kind of something I find really interesting because you've also managed to stay in Victoria, but create your own luck. And I want to kind of explore this idea.
You didn't seem to feel the need to go to some major metropolitan area and network and do things you've been more on, almost defense, I would say, in a way. But you've managed to create your own luck. And I'd like to see if you agree with the philosophy of creating your own luck. And one example I would bring up is actually bidding to have lunch with Bill Ackman, right, knowing that you wanted to meet him and taking that opportunity to put yourself out there and do that. Are there other examples that you found have helped you create your own luck and build relationships or especially being based somewhere not super remote? I mean, it's across from Seattle, not to. But you know, I'm saying, like, it's almost that Omaha reference with Buffett we brought up earlier.
Yeah, so I moved here when I was 15, I grew up in Vancouver. Vancouver is about a two and a half million person city. Victoria is about 300,000. So it's very, very small. And I hated it. You know, I was 16 years old, did not want to move here. And over time, you know, I really wanted to move to a bigger city, but I always had a girlfriend, my business was here. And I ended up falling in love with the city. And I still, you know, I'd still would travel to Los Angeles and New York and San Francisco and go to conference, business conferences and stuff and meet all sorts of interesting people. But I found that I got a lot of independence by being in Victoria, because there's not a lot of, you know, business people that I would be interacting with. And there's not this kind of memetic desire. You know, I was just in Los Angeles last week, and I visited a house, this beautiful house that my friend had rented. And I asked him how much the house was worth. And he said $70 million. And I think that that's just the next level of competition, you know, a world where the best house costs 200 million in Victoria, the best house costs 10 or 12 million, which is a lot of money. But that's for the best house in town. And so I think the level of competition is much lower. I feel that, you know, I'm quite an anxious person. And I think that my anxiety is just lower, not having to be surrounded constantly by people talking about business and all competing. And so I really enjoy the quiet pace of life.
In terms of networking and stuff, you know, we've been fairly, really lucky with some of the people that we've been able to connect with. And it's been a strategy of either really targeted reach out, or it's been getting into the right room. And so, you know, the way I would think about that would be a lot of people will kind of say, okay, I'm not going to go to Davos, or I'm not going to go to Ted. I'm not ready for those. I'm going to start at little small conferences. I just said, okay, and I paid $15,000 to go to Ted when I was a nobody. And I knew that if I put myself in a room with all those amazing people consistently, year after year for 10 years, eventually I would befriend people and connect with them and do business with them. And so via conferences like Ted, I ended up meeting all these fascinating people, building my business, meeting amazing philanthropists and billionaire business people and all that kind of stuff.
And then otherwise, I would really study people from a distance. So Buffet and Munger, you know, I read everything I could for seven or eight years before I met them. You know, Ackman, I studied for years, Howard Marks, you know, all people that I've connected with, but I would study them. And when I really wanted to meet someone, I'd try and find a clever way to do so.
So for example, with Bill Ackman, you know, I, you know, followed him for ages. And I just happened to see that he was doing a charity lunch. And so I decided I was going to win that charity lunch. I did $60,000 to go for lunch with him. And I had no idea what to expect. I'd actually invested in his publicly traded company. And so I looked at it as diligence. I had a very large position in it. And I said, okay, if Bill's a jerk, I'm going to sell at the end of the lunch. And if I like him, then I'm maybe I'll buy more and I'll hold.
And Bill was lovely. You know, he, we spent three or four hours together. I ended up meeting his whole team at Pershing Square. And we really connected. And, you know, at the end of the lunch, he said, hey, let's find a way to work together. We should do business. So, you know, I've done a lot of stuff like that. And it's worked out really, really well. But I didn't go into that lunch with Bill expecting that something would happen. I mean, he, he's somebody that invests in, you know, railways and huge real estate, you know, multi billion dollar public companies. I just wanted to learn from him.
And that's really been the approach that I've taken with all of the people I've met is just how do I get as much out of their brain as I possibly can. There's a framework that I've been adopting recently, which is sort of this idea of increasing your luck surface area. And I think you kind of touched on that there.
And we, you know, with the economy where it is, I know people are budget cutting. There was this big conference last week that a lot of companies I know were planning to not do just to save money. But our decision was, well, will it increase our luck surface area? Well, we will create this potential serendipitous moment moments and it did. So I really love that idea.
Talk to us about Bill Ackman, because he's not someone we've actually studied all that much on this show. He's had, I wouldn't say spotty track record, but he's definitely been in the headlines and out of the headlines. He's been very active. He's been more quiet. He's had, you know, losses than these massive wins, you know, actually fairly recently. What is it about him? Maybe that sets him apart from maybe the other people you studied?
So first of all, I'd say, Bill, if you actually look at his track record, I think it's mostly wins with a huge, a few huge losses. And the problem is that the big losses that he's had have been very loud. And I think that Bill, because he, you know, formerly was an activist and was quite loud, I think the tallest blade of grass is the first to get cut. So when things don't go well, everyone loves to dunk on Bill. But he has an exceptional track record. And I think he's an amazing investor.
Bill, I think what impresses me about him, what made him stand apart from a lot of the other value investors is most, most value investors, they effectively are buying a ticket on a cruise ship.
So what I mean by that is let's say you want to go to Hawaii, you know, there's a lot of different ways to do so.
所以我的意思是,假设你想去夏威夷,你知道,有很多不同的方式可以实现这个愿望。
You could go and build a boat yourself by hand with some logs on the beach and try and sail to Hawaii, but you'll probably die or, you know, drown or, you know, get sunburned and maybe you make it one in 100 times, but it's probably not going to work. That's like starting a business, so that's venture. Then, you know, you could maybe go buy a speedboat or something like that, you're going to arrive battered and bruised. That's, you know, find a difficult business or a turnaround or something like that.
The cruise ship would be, you know, you find a cruise ship that's sailing to Hawaii, the course is charted, it's a reputable cruise line, it's been operating for 20 years, you buy your ticket, a stock certificate, and you go and suntan on the deck for the entire time and you enjoy the ride. You know, that's what a lot of more passive investors like Buffett might do or Guy Speer or Monish Pabrai, they're really buying the business, they're trusting that the business is going to go where management says it's going to go and they kind of let the business do what it's going to do.
Bill, on the other hand, is much more entrepreneurial. So, you know, historically, when Pershing Square buys into a business, they actually have a thesis around change and, you know, in some instances, you know, it's been mismanagement. Historically, I think they've done a lot more of that kind of turnaround stuff like they did at CP Rail, where they felt that the business was just not being operated well, you know, had the wrong board, etc.
I think they've since evolved to seeing opportunities in businesses that are already wonderful, where they think that they can perhaps influence them in a positive direction from the board, but in a much friendlier way. But what I like about Bill is that he'll actually wrestle with the universe to try and see the outcome that he, you know, sees come to fruition. And I really like that. I think that he manifests things more than other investors. And so I find that very inspiring as someone who's an operator.
I imagine having that much spotlight on you can be difficult. And we've touched on this a little bit, but I happen to know that you, I know from some of your other interviews that you've been into self care in certain ways. And you've gone as far as taking a month long sabbatical, a digital detox, if you will, a couple years ago. I'm curious if you were able to do that again late last year. If you saw the same effect, is it becoming something you're really proving out to be helpful for you? And is there something beyond something that you maybe even picked up from these people that you're around and learning from that's helped you understand? Because that's one side of the equation that's not often talked about. You know, you see these people maybe get kicked around in the headlines or every move they make is scrutinized, but that's so stressful. I know it talks about how they manage it.
Well, you know, I think someone like Bill is incredibly tough, right? Bill talks about falling down and just brushing yourself off and getting back up. And Munger talks about that too. I think that the people who get back up are the people who continue to do well and they learn lessons and they become better investors or better business people as a result.
For my personal experience. So one of the things I realized is that at the end of the day, I've only got so much dopamine in my brain, right? So I, you know, every email you read, every decision you make, you are depleting, you know, some chemical in your brain. And I think most people observe that when they wake up, they're the most full of ideas and excitement and forward momentum and quality decision making and that kind of fatigues throughout the day. And so what I've tried to do is make as few decisions as possible to abstract things away as much as possible to remove time constraints and time pressures so that there's nowhere I have to be. I can always cancel appointments. I can make a decision later. There's no burning fires.
But like I said earlier, I still struggle with the feeling of overwhelm. Now, they're wonderful problems, right? I have all these fascinating businesses each with their own unique opportunities to dig into. But I feel a little bit like somebody with a Netflix queue that's in the hundreds, right? There's too many good movies to watch. There's too many TV shows I want to see. There's too many great books to read. So that's what I struggle with, which I think is a good problem to have. But it's very difficult. And I, like anyone else, swing into periods of excitement where I'm doing a lot, and then I get into overwhelm and I dial everything back. And then I start to get busy again. And I just seem to repeat that pattern annually.
That last point resonates because when I was a musician, I was looking up to have this year. I made enough money and I was like, okay, I can not worry about money for a while. And every day was actually kind of torturous because I would wake up and not know what to do with my time. Do I practice scales? Do I read poetry? Do I, you name it? And I would end up just going to get a sandwich because I was like, I don't know what else to do.
So do you find at the helm when you get to this level where you delegated and, you know, if you're not someone who just enjoys reading, and maybe you are like Buffett, you know, for six, eight hours a day, how do you manage that? It's actually something that's probably harder than people even think about, you know, they think it's probably fairly easy to do. But I found it to be quite torturous.
Yeah, it's surprisingly hard. So when Chris and I first started Tiny, at the time we owned about five or six businesses that we had started, we delegated the operations to CEOs. And really, we said to all the CEOs, look, don't call us unless you need us. So the phone stopped ringing. We went from getting hundreds of emails a day, solving people problems, getting texted constantly to absolutely nothing. And at first it was bliss. We were thinking that we would become a young Buffett in Munger. We had this tiny little office and we would just sit there in our lazy boy chairs reading 10Ks. And I realized that I do not have that capacity. I think I can read for maybe one to two hours a day. And maybe if I'm really obsessed with something a little bit more. But I am very social. I like to meet people. I like to be out and doing things. And so I do struggle with that.
I find that there's currently, at our scale, there's enough going on that every single day, there's still kind of two or three priorities or things that I'm pushing forward. But a lot of what I'm doing is texting people and saying, hey, remember that thing we talked about? How's that going? Checking in? And then otherwise, unless a CEO calls me with a critical problem, which doesn't happen that often these days, I'm not getting into the actual underlying businesses.
So when you talked to Buffett, you were talking about philanthropy, I think you mentioned as well. And his initial game plan was to just compound until he died, basically. And I think luckily for everybody, Bill Gates at some point, convinced him to start giving back with a warmer hand. And I'm curious what he impressed upon you with philanthropy, how you approach it, and maybe what causes, if any, motivate you the most.
Well, yeah, I was talking to him about the Giving Pledge. And I really like the idea that any wealth that you build is just going back to society, because it allows you to reframe from a kind of greed mindset, and maximizing, I'm getting as much as I can to go buy a super yacht to instead saying, you know what, I'm the world's best fundraiser for philanthropy. Right? So saying that every dollar I make from this point on basically is going to go back to society at some point, I think is quite a nice way to reframe, because at a certain point, I described earlier in the interview that my family didn't have a lot of money. And so I just wanted to get rich, I wanted to solve that problem.
And I'd say probably almost 10 years ago, I had enough money where I could retire, and then I had enough money that I could retire very comfortably. And then I had enough money that I could have my whole family retire. And at that point, I was like, okay, well, what's the point? And I ended up feeling a bit empty. So it wasn't until I actually decided to give away most of my money that I was able to reframe and get excited again about working.
Is that around the time you I'm trying to find the time when you spoke with Buffen and we're seeking advice, were you coming from that place of what knowing or trying to figure out what to do next exactly?
这是在你与巴芬交谈并寻求建议时的大致时间吗?当时你是基于已知的事实,还是试图弄清楚接下来该做什么?
Yeah, totally. It was, I think it was January 2021, right after we took WeCommerce Public. And the interesting thing about that was that before that moment, I only owned private businesses. So while I had a lot of cash flow coming in, I was almost constantly reinvesting the cash flow. I never had any real sense of what my businesses were worth or how they'd be valued in the market. And when we took WeCommerce Public, that was actually only a very small percentage of my net worth. And those shares, very quickly were worth tens and then even hundreds of millions of dollars, depending on what the stock price was doing. And so it was kind of slapping me in the face. I was like, okay, I got to figure this out. I had a bit of an existential crisis. I talked to Buffet. I interviewed a ton of other wealthy people to ask them what they were doing. And one of the frustrating parts of it is that everyone does something slightly different and all the advice seems to counteract one another. So yeah, it was quite interesting to try and figure out.
What else keeps you grounded? I mean, we talked about living in Victoria. I imagine you might have friends you've known your whole life to a degree, just from growing up there. Have those relationships changed over time? And is it hard to relate to people? Or is having that around you actually what is rounding for you?
Yeah, I mean, I still have a lot of great old friends who roast me and bring me back down to size. So that works out really well. It does change things. And it's such a blessing and a curse. I think that being known as a successful investor and business person is wonderful as an extrovert because I will be sitting in a cafe and I'll have some random business person walk up to me and say, hey, I heard you on a podcast last week. Here's my business. And wow, I just made a new friend. But I also find that it also can sometimes convert you into a meal ticket for people. People will email you constantly asking for things, people wanting loans. It just changes that stuff. Whereas before we went public, the first business went public when we were kind of quiet and private, no one really knew. I was just some guy in a hoodie working out of a cafe. And so it's a double edged sword. Don't cry any tears for me. I've got a great life. But it is an interesting dynamic to try and figure out.
What would be some of your favorite books or resources that you recommend to people who are just getting started? I know that there's an interesting debate around even higher education nowadays. I'm curious where you would push people to start learning either about investing or starting a company or simply just living a good life.
Okay, so I'm a dropout. I went to journalism school for three months and then dropped out. And then I became a barista. And then there's two guys that kept coming into the cafe every day who are web designers. And I was looking at them and they would just sit in the cafe all day, drinking espresso that I had made and going on their laptops. And I was like, well, that seems better. So I became a web designer and just stumbled into it. And then my web design agency was doing well and was profitable. And so I kind of had to learn business. Then I started multiple businesses. And so it was very organic.
One of the things that I noticed was that every job I ever had, I wanted to shove my boss out of the way and take over. I just didn't get why they were doing things the way they were. I thought I could do it better. I was kind of unemployable, which is the quality that so many entrepreneurs have. When I talk to kids who say, I want to be an entrepreneur, I'm going to go to school for entrepreneurship. It sounds a little bit like someone saying, I really want to be an Olympic athlete. I'm going to go read a book about running. And it's like, no, if you want to become a cross country runner, you should start running tomorrow. And that if it's not completely slapping you in the face, that you don't feel the urge that you have to do it, then you probably shouldn't. Because being an entrepreneur is a very, very difficult life, especially in the early days. It's really hard. It's extremely exhilarating for the right type of personality. But it's really, really hard and stressful. And the failure is brutal.
So I would say, first of all, don't start a business unless you feel compelled to. Don't do it because it sounds good or your parents want you to do it. Do it because you feel you have to. From there, the best resources for me were, there's a variety of business books that I love. The best one is a book called How to Get Rich by Felix Dennis. The title is Not Great. It's really cheesy-looking and has a photo of him sitting on a golden throne on the front. But it's really, he's publishing Magnet from the UK who built a fortune. And it's a fascinating book because he kind of says, here's everything you need to know in order to start a business and to get rich. And I'd say it's quite accurate. I'd say follow many of the steps. But then the last quarter of the book is about why you don't want to get rich and how miserable it made his life. So it's a fascinating book. That was kind of my first book that really inspired me.
In terms of learning accounting and finance, like as someone progresses, Khan Academy is amazing. You could probably spend two hours doing the finance and accounting course and learn everything you need to know. The Emith by Michael Gerber is amazing about delegation. When I first started my business, I was kind of like, imagine if I owned a bakery and I was trying to bake all the baked goods in the back at two in the morning and then work the till on the front and then run back and forth, covered in flour, trying to do a little bit of everything. And the Emith was the book that allowed me to kind of see that my business isn't me. My business is a machine and you have to build a machine built up of process and people in order to scale. So that was a breakthrough for me.
And then investing the Dandho Investor by Monish Pabrai, I think is the best kind of manual on value investing, just basic value investing. And then there's the final book I'd recommend would be The Tower of Charlie Munger, which is much more qualitative. I always think of Munger as a wonderful qualitative investor. So Dandho Investor is kind of like, here's how to buy a dollar for 50 cents. Munger is much more about how to examine business quality, psychology, and incentives, which you come to realize is far more important than any of the numbers stuff.
On that last point, I'm just curious if Munger, Buffett, Bill, anyone has put a book in front of you that was maybe interesting. I know for me, I had dinner with Buffett once and he gave me a couple Adam Smith books to read. And for me, that was eye-opening to this idea of owning a business, be able in the book that they described it as peeling off equity to create liquidity and things that just stuck with me, the visual. But it was this idea of how people grow and make a living off of the business. And I'm curious if there's been references from anyone like that that maybe have stuck with you as well.
The most important book that I've probably ever read is Influence by Robert Sealdini, which Munger is a huge fan of. He was the reason why I discovered that book and effectively it's like an encyclopedia of every kind of cause of psychological misjudgment. Charlie Munger also has a really great speech that he did at Harvard called the Psychology of Human Misjudgment. He made it in the 90s. It's kind of this old crackly recording, but it summarizes all the kind of key ways that people don't think through stuff properly. That book is incredible. I still use all the skills I learned in that book every day.
Fantastic. Well, Andrew, I've learned so much from you today and I have a whole laundry list now that I'm so excited to go dig into because a lot of these I never even heard of before. So really exciting. And we will list all of these resources in the show notes. Thank you so much for taking the time to speak with us. And before I let you go, I would love if you could share a little bit more with the audience about how they can learn more about Tiny because it's a really fascinating thing you're building. And just if you want to direct them anywhere to learn more about it, please do so.
Yeah, so the best place to learn more is just go to tiny.com, our website. You can kind of see a high level overview of all the businesses that we own and how we buy businesses. I've done a lot of podcast interviews and I go on my first million very often. That's more kind of off the cuff brainstorming, more entrepreneurial. I've also done a couple interviews on kind of more philosophical side with Shane Parrish on the Knowledge Project. And then I did one on 20 minute VC, which is like a really good summary in 20 minutes of exactly how we invest and how we construct our business. But yeah, Trey, thank you so much. It's great to finally come on and as a long time listener, it's very cool. Will we see you in Omaha? I don't think so. I've been traveling way too much. I don't think I'm going to be there, but I'll be there probably the next year. Sounds good. Okay. Thank you so much again.
And one of the problems with that stretchy is this. If you buy your poor company, apart from the fact that it does destroy value while you wait, if you get the your timing roughly right, yeah, it will make some value for you. It will create some performance for you. The problem is then you have to go find another one. Whereas with our companies, if we select them right, we never have to go and find a new company. We can sit there, not deal. And as a result, cut down the costs of running the portfolio.