The Anatomy Of Bubbles | Jonathan Treussard on Private Credit, Nvidia, and Dangers of “Engineered Yield”
发布时间 2024-04-08 21:07:00 来源
摘要
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck.
Learn more about VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) http://vaneck.com/HODLFG.
VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Prospectus: https://vaneck.com/us/hodlprospectus.
__
Jonathan Treussard of Treussard Capital Management joins Forward Guidance to help define what a bubble is. By his strict definition, nothing qualifies right now. But as money flows into risk assets, valuations become stretched. Treussard has trouble with the high valuations in the U.S. market, and sees opportunities in the cheaper European and Japanese markets. He also shares his views on the risk of the “engineered yield” that comes from strategies that sell options explicitly or implicitly. Filmed on April 2, 2024.
__
Follow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter.com/vaneck_us
About Treussard Capital Management: https://www.treussard.com/
2004 Paper on Bubbles with Earl Thompson and Charles Hickson: http://www.econ.ucla.edu/workingpapers/wp836.pdf
Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96
Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance
Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
__
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:45) Hallmarks Of A Financial Bubble: New Technology and Valuations Stretching Far Beyond Fundamentals
(05:24) How Bubbles Remake Social Orders
(07:25) Credit Bubbles Vs. Equity Bubbles
(10:00) The Rise of Private Credit
(11:44) In Wealth Management, Private Credit Tends To Be "More Sold Than Bought"
(15:25) Private Credit Is "Concerning" But "Not A Bubble"
(17:05) U.S. Stocks Are Expensive
(19:55) Trade Wars & Geopolitical Blockades Are A Serious Risk To Nvidia
(26:49) Europe and Japan
(29:08) VanEck Ad
(30:10) T-Bill And Chill Has Been Drastically Outperformed By Stock Market Beta
(31:03) Investment Framework For The New Cold War
(43:58) How Option Theory Applies To Economics, Investing, And Life
(49:35) Jonathan's Work As A Risk Manager During 2008
(55:53) Beware "Engineered Yield"
__
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
GPT-4正在为你翻译摘要中......
