Manifold Markets Founder - Predictions Markets & Revolutionizing Governance
发布时间 2022-05-05 05:06:31 来源
摘要
Stephen Grugett is a cofounder of Manifold Markets, where anyone can create a prediction market. We discuss how prediction markets can change how countries and companies make important decisions.
Manifold Markets: https://manifold.markets/
Podcast website + Transcript: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/stephen-grugett
Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3cDjwBF
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3RkZD12
Follow me on Twitter to be notified of future content: https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp
TIMESTAMPS:
Introduction 0:00:00
Predicting the future 0:02:29
Getting Accurate Information 0:05:16
Potentials 0:06:20
Not using internal prediction markets 0:09:29
Doing the painful thing 0:11:04
Decision Making Process 0:13:31
Grugett’s opinion about insider trading 0:14:52
The Role of prediction markets 0:16:23
Dealing with the Speculators 0:18:17
Criticism of Prediction Markets 0:20:33
The world when people cared about 0:22:24
Grugett’s Profile Background/Experience 0:26:10
User Result Market 0:28:49
The most important mechanism 0:30:17
The 100 manifold dollars 0:32:59
Efficient financial markets 0:40:30
Manifold Markets Job/Career Openings 0:46:28
Objectives of Manifold Markets 0:48:02
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