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Norges Bank Investment Management - Satya Nadella - CEO of Microsoft | In Good Company | Podcast | Norges Bank Investment Management

发布时间:2024-03-13 05:00:33   原节目
以下是微软首席执行官萨蒂亚·纳德拉访谈的总结: **关键主题和见解:** 纳德拉强调科技行业需要不断创新和适应,这是由持续的平台转变所驱动的。他认为不存在长期的“特许经营价值”,需要每天致力于保持相关性。目前,微软正在经历其第四次重大平台转变,重点放在人工智能上。他承认,缺乏特许经营权可能会令人不安,但这也正是科技行业令人兴奋的地方,它促进了重塑。 他认为技术是更广泛经济增长的驱动力,超越了传统的科技领域。他强调了人工智能在彻底改变医疗保健、材料科学和能源转型方面的潜力,从而带来整个经济的突破。 他将人工智能比作工业革命时期的铁路热潮,认为科技的影响应该通过其改变整个经济的能力来衡量。 **微软的人工智能战略:** 访谈探讨了微软与OpenAI的合作关系以及其在人工智能领域的竞争地位。纳德拉强调,微软最初对OpenAI的投资是“孤注一掷”,是在成为普遍共识之前就做出的赌注。他承认谷歌在人工智能领域拥有强大的能力和垂直整合,但认为微软与OpenAI的合作是引入更大竞争和防止谷歌主导人工智能格局的一种手段。 展望未来三到五年,纳德拉设想微软拥有最佳的人工智能基础设施。 这涉及一种全栈方法,包括通过Azure提供一流的人工智能基础设施,重点关注训练和推理。微软计划利用合作伙伴关系(Nvidia、AMD)并开发自己的硅和系统架构。 另一个关键领域是数据层,需要围绕检索增强生成、嵌入和管理数据吞吐量进行创新。 在此基础设施之上,微软将继续创新其针对各种应用程序的“副驾驶”(co-pilots),包括GitHub、Microsoft 365以及诸如服务、销售和财务等专门功能。 他说,一个成功的微软是一个第三方在每一层都能竞争的微软。 **技术突破与小型语言模型:** 纳德拉将人工智能视为他在微软所经历的第四次重大平台转变,前三次分别是PC客户端/服务器、Web互联网和移动云。 他强调了每次转变如何建立在之前的转变之上,云计算和移动/PC环境孕育了人工智能时代。 他预计人工智能将超越认知工作,加速科学进步,并体现在机器人等现实应用中。 在谈到芯片短缺的影响时,他承认更大的计算能力将加速发展。 他对模型架构的潜在突破持开放态度,这些突破可能会减少对巨大计算能力的依赖。 他还谈到了较小国家是否应该开发自己的AI模型的问题,建议他们优先考虑附加值,并考虑微调现有的基础模型,而不是尝试复制整个预训练过程。 **地缘政治、量子计算和游戏:** 纳德拉强调了微软作为一家跨国公司的角色,该公司必须通过为每个国家的进步做出贡献来赢得其在每个国家的“经营许可”。 他认为,公司的社会契约取决于其支持当地在公共部门效率、全球竞争力、教育、医疗保健和小型企业生产力等领域发展进步的能力。 他重申了微软对量子计算的承诺,认为这是一种改变科学模拟格局的技术。 他认为量子计算和人工智能是互补的,能够实现材料科学和生物学的突破。 他强调了游戏的重要性,并说游戏本身不是一种手段,而是一种目的。 他说,微软从事游戏行业是出于对游戏的热爱,是为了给世界创造一个快乐的地方。 **文化转型和领导力:** 纳德拉反思了他在微软率先进行的文化变革,强调需要从“万事通”心态转变为“学无止境”的心态。 他认为卡罗尔·德韦克的成长型思维模式是关键的影响因素。 他认为同理心是创新的关键技能,能够更深入地了解未满足和未明确表达的客户需求。 他说,通过运用同理心、设计思维和公司天生的能力,用户和企业可以保持一致。 当被问及是什么技能使他成为一名有效的领导者时,他反问道他有什么不擅长的。 他喜欢以尽可能广泛的方式定义自己的工作,并寻找身边能够互补的人才。 **给年轻人的建议:** 纳德拉建议年轻人永远尽力做好自己的工作,永远不要等待下一次晋升。 他鼓励他们以热情拥抱他们所拥有的工作,并尽可能广泛地定义它。

Here is a summary of the interview with Satya Nadella, CEO of Microsoft: **Key Themes and Insights:** Nadella emphasizes the constant need for innovation and adaptation in the tech industry, driven by continuous platform shifts. He believes there is no long-term "franchise value," requiring a daily commitment to relevance. Currently, Microsoft is navigating its fourth major platform shift, heavily focused on AI. He acknowledges that the lack of a franchise can be unnerving, but it's also what makes the tech industry exciting, fostering reinvention. He sees technology as a driver for broader economic growth, extending beyond the traditional tech sector. He highlights the potential for AI to revolutionize healthcare, material science, and energy transition, leading to breakthroughs across the entire economy. Analogizing AI to the railroad boom during the Industrial Revolution, he suggests tech's impact should be measured by its ability to transform the entire economy. **Microsoft's AI Strategy:** The interview addresses Microsoft's partnership with OpenAI and its competitive positioning in the AI space. Nadella stresses that Microsoft's initial investment in OpenAI was a "shot in the dark" and a bet made before it became conventional wisdom. He acknowledges Google's significant capabilities and vertical integration in AI, but views Microsoft's partnership with OpenAI as a means to introduce greater competition and prevent a Google-dominated AI landscape. Looking ahead three to five years, Nadella envisions Microsoft having the best AI infrastructure. This involves a full-stack approach, encompassing best-in-class AI infrastructure through Azure, focusing on both training and inference. Microsoft intends to leverage partnerships (Nvidia, AMD) and develop its own silicon and system architecture. Another key area is the data tier, requiring innovation around retrieval augmented generation, embeddings, and managing data throughput. On top of this infrastructure, Microsoft will continue to innovate on its "co-pilots" for various applications, including GitHub, Microsoft 365, and specialized functions like service, sales, and finance. He says a successful Microsoft is one where third parties compete in each layer. **Technological Breakthroughs and Small Language Models:** Nadella identifies AI as the fourth major platform shift he's witnessed at Microsoft, following PC client server, the web internet, and mobile cloud. He underscores how each shift builds upon the previous, with the cloud and mobile/PC environments birthing the AI age. He anticipates AI extending beyond cognitive work to accelerate scientific advancements and be embodied in real-world applications like robotics. Addressing the impact of chip shortages, he acknowledges that greater compute capacity would accelerate progress. He maintains an open mind about potential breakthroughs in model architecture that might reduce the reliance on immense computing power. He also addresses the question of whether smaller countries should develop their own AI models, advising them to prioritize value add and consider fine-tuning existing foundation models rather than attempting to replicate the entire pre-training process. **Geopolitics, Quantum Computing, and Gaming:** Nadella emphasizes Microsoft's role as a multinational company that must earn its "license to operate" in each country by contributing to its progress. He believes that a company's social contract hinges on its ability to support local advancements in areas like public sector efficiency, global competitiveness, education, healthcare, and small business productivity. He reaffirms Microsoft's commitment to quantum computing, viewing it as a game-changing technology for scientific simulation. He sees quantum and AI as complementary, enabling breakthroughs in material science and biology. He emphasizes the importance of gaming, saying that it's not a means to an end, but an end in itself. He states that Microsoft is in gaming for its love of the medium, to create a place of joy for the world. **Cultural Transformation and Leadership:** Nadella reflects on the cultural changes he's spearheaded at Microsoft, emphasizing the need to move from a "know-it-all" to a "learn-it-all" mentality. He credits Carol Dweck's work on growth mindset as a key influence. He views empathy as a critical skill for innovation, enabling a deeper understanding of unmet and unarticulated customer needs. He says that by applying empathy, design thinking and the company's innate abilities, the user and business can align. When asked what skill makes him effective as a leader, he counters by asking what isn't he good at. He likes to define his job in the broadest way possible and look at people around him with skills that can complement him. **Advice to Young People:** Nadella advises young people to always do their best work, never waiting for their next promotion. He encourages them to embrace the job they have with enthusiasm and define it as broadly as possible.